Triathlon finish-time scenario planner
Scale recent swim, bike and run splits separately, then make every pace assumption visible. The result is a planning range—not a promised finish time.
Central scenario
3h 05m
Sensitivity range at ±5% of moving time: 2h 56m–3h 14m
- swim
- 0h 32m
- bike
- 1h 28m
- run
- 0h 57m
- transitions
- 0h 08m
How this finish-time scenario works
Each source split is converted to the target distance at the same discipline pace, then multiplied by the adjustment you chose. Transition time is added separately. The tool does not hide a universal fatigue factor or infer readiness from one result.
How to choose useful adjustments
Use comparable training, course profile, swim setting, likely weather and rehearsed fueling. Build a conservative scenario and an optimistic scenario instead of treating one output as a forecast. A short-course result cannot capture the recovery, pacing or nutrition demands of long-course racing.
Planning limitation: this tool is arithmetic, not a validated physiological prediction model. Confirm race cutoffs and course details in the current athlete guide.
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